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Red50
598411.1
156121.8
346523.9
Blue89
144824.4
602626.9
238822.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53782040601001201405089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3465
#37
23.90.6
22.021.4
Auto9.9
Teleop10.3
End3.7
blue by 3.0
6026
#10
26.90.3
26.926.6
Auto10.2
Teleop13.3
End3.4
Second
1561
#29
21.80.6
20.119.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.5
End3.8
blue by 2.6
1448
#25
24.40.3
24.324.0
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End3.9
Third
5984
#59
11.10.6
13.012.4
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End0.5
blue by 11.1
2388
#24
22.20.2
20.620.4
Auto1.9
Teleop14.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed