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Red37
298613.9
359328.4
562114.8
Blue92
554823.2
440331.6
237324.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65714060801003792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#16
28.41.8
31.229.5
Auto6.5
Teleop16.7
End5.2
blue by 3.2
31.61.6
29.030.7
Auto9.3
Teleop17.7
End4.6
Second
5621
#50
14.83.0
17.614.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End2.0
blue by 9.9
2373
#30
24.72.7
20.823.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End4.9
Third
2986
#41
13.93.0
14.911.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End2.4
blue by 9.2
5548
#12
23.22.7
17.920.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed