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Red120
452232.5
246118.3
180645.5
Blue52
359328.4
458734.2
598411.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9777406012014012052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.51.9
42.544.5
Auto12.2
Teleop28.2
End5.2
red by 11.3
34.22.7
36.133.4
Auto6.9
Teleop23.3
End4.1
Second
4522
#11
32.51.9
31.833.7
Auto6.9
Teleop21.3
End4.4
red by 4.1
3593
#16
28.41.7
29.527.7
Auto6.5
Teleop16.7
End5.2
Third
2461
#39
18.31.9
16.718.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End2.2
red by 7.2
5984
#59
11.12.7
12.49.7
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed