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Red91
324726.6
316321.5
238822.2
Blue62
316024.0
120920.0
277318.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6163203040507080901009162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3247
#14
26.63.3
21.424.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.1
End7.2
red by 2.6
3160
#45
24.00.1
24.124.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End9.2
Second
2388
#24
22.22.1
20.422.5
Auto1.9
Teleop14.3
End6.0
red by 2.3
1209
#51
20.00.1
18.718.8
Auto1.1
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Third
3163
#53
21.53.3
17.721.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End4.7
red by 3.1
2773
#43
18.40.1
18.018.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed