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Red88
502427.8
128528.1
201342.1
Blue85
86526.6
471617.1
491725.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84800501001502002503008885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.1
38.738.8
Auto14.0
Teleop20.8
End7.2
red by 15.4
865
#15
26.60.1
25.225.3
Auto8.9
Teleop14.7
End3.0
Second
1285
#16
28.10.1
21.721.8
Auto6.5
Teleop16.9
End4.7
red by 2.3
4917
#23
25.80.2
30.630.8
Auto8.1
Teleop15.6
End2.1
Third
5024
#19
27.80.2
20.520.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.4
End4.8
red by 10.7
4716
#10
17.10.2
22.522.7
Auto6.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed