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Red137
131040.3
18833.4
124153.0
Blue85
130544.9
532424.5
496813.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1176105010015020013785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.02.1
44.646.7
Auto15.8
Teleop31.0
End6.1
red by 8.0
44.90.8
39.740.5
Auto6.2
Teleop32.9
End5.9
Second
40.32.1
29.231.3
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.3
red by 15.8
5324
#11
24.51.3
17.018.3
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End5.4
Third
188
#22
33.42.1
31.633.7
Auto12.6
Teleop16.0
End4.8
red by 19.9
4968
#31
13.51.3
11.312.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed