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Red69
415216.6
452620.9
490730.8
Blue80
218523.8
461716.4
77232.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536602040801001201401606980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.8
26.227.9
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End4.2
blue by 1.2
772
#5
32.10.9
27.127.9
Auto10.5
Teleop18.0
End3.5
Second
4526
#20
20.91.8
16.217.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
blue by 2.9
2185
#12
23.80.9
23.824.6
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Third
4152
#32
16.61.8
10.712.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End2.8
red by 0.2
4617
#24
16.41.4
11.312.7
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed