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Red92
77232.1
355028.3
532424.5
Blue77
491725.8
481430.1
18833.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66982040801201401609277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#5
32.11.2
29.430.6
Auto10.5
Teleop18.0
End3.5
blue by 1.3
188
#22
33.40.9
35.234.3
Auto12.6
Teleop16.0
End4.8
Second
3550
#14
28.32.0
19.121.0
Auto10.5
Teleop12.8
End5.1
blue by 1.8
30.11.5
24.623.1
Auto2.9
Teleop21.7
End5.4
Third
5324
#11
24.52.0
20.722.7
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End5.4
blue by 1.3
4917
#23
25.81.5
30.829.3
Auto8.1
Teleop15.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed