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Red75
406921.2
398619.6
132533.5
Blue87
218523.8
354319.7
293531.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757455606570808590957587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#13
33.50.2
29.429.6
Auto12.5
Teleop14.8
End6.2
red by 1.7
2935
#17
31.80.0
28.128.1
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Second
4069
#26
21.20.2
26.326.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.2
End2.2
blue by 2.6
2185
#12
23.80.0
24.524.5
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Third
3986
#27
19.60.3
16.817.1
Auto3.4
Teleop12.3
End3.9
blue by 0.1
3543
#21
19.70.0
19.319.3
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed