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Red70
415216.6
131040.3
567214.0
Blue119
493614.7
502427.8
124153.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6397020408012014016070119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.3
32.432.6
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.3
blue by 12.6
53.01.0
48.149.1
Auto15.8
Teleop31.0
End6.1
Second
4152
#32
16.60.4
14.915.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End2.8
blue by 11.3
5024
#19
27.81.7
22.624.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.4
End4.8
Third
5672
#29
14.00.4
18.919.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 0.7
4936
#28
14.71.7
18.219.9
Auto2.0
Teleop10.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned