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Red145
452620.9
130544.9
86526.6
Blue64
587021.6
354319.7
415216.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9546020608012014014564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.92.7
42.044.7
Auto6.2
Teleop32.9
End5.9
red by 23.4
5870
#30
21.60.8
17.518.3
Auto8.5
Teleop9.9
End3.2
Second
865
#15
26.62.7
23.225.9
Auto8.9
Teleop14.7
End3.0
red by 6.9
3543
#21
19.70.8
19.320.1
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End2.1
Third
4526
#20
20.94.4
19.824.2
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
red by 4.3
4152
#32
16.60.8
15.316.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed