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Red105
532424.5
451926.5
493614.7
Blue102
201342.1
398619.6
490730.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions679220406080100120140105102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4519
#18
26.50.7
26.227.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End4.0
blue by 15.5
42.10.7
40.641.3
Auto14.0
Teleop20.8
End7.2
Second
5324
#11
24.51.2
22.723.9
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End5.4
blue by 6.3
30.81.2
28.229.4
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Third
4936
#28
14.71.2
19.921.1
Auto2.0
Teleop10.1
End2.6
blue by 4.9
3986
#27
19.61.2
17.118.3
Auto3.4
Teleop12.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed