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Red61
398619.6
451926.5
452620.9
Blue94
481430.1
77232.1
86526.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62902040801001201406194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4519
#18
26.50.2
27.427.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End4.0
blue by 5.6
772
#5
32.10.7
31.632.3
Auto10.5
Teleop18.0
End3.5
Second
4526
#20
20.90.4
19.719.3
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
blue by 9.2
30.11.1
26.227.3
Auto2.9
Teleop21.7
End5.4
Third
3986
#27
19.60.4
17.717.3
Auto3.4
Teleop12.3
End3.9
blue by 7.0
865
#15
26.60.7
25.826.5
Auto8.9
Teleop14.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned