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Red40
567214.0
461716.4
491725.8
Blue124
130544.9
132533.5
355028.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59110020408010012014016040124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#23
25.82.6
29.526.9
Auto8.1
Teleop15.6
End2.1
blue by 19.1
44.91.7
43.945.6
Auto6.2
Teleop32.9
End5.9
Second
4617
#24
16.42.6
20.017.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End0.2
blue by 17.1
1325
#13
33.51.7
30.031.7
Auto12.5
Teleop14.8
End6.2
Third
5672
#29
14.02.6
15.713.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 14.3
3550
#14
28.32.6
25.027.6
Auto10.5
Teleop12.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned