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Red107
452620.9
587021.6
124153.0
Blue81
481430.1
451926.5
406921.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947720406012014016010781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.01.2
49.450.7
Auto15.8
Teleop31.0
End6.1
red by 22.9
30.10.4
27.327.6
Auto2.9
Teleop21.7
End5.4
Second
5870
#30
21.61.9
19.621.6
Auto8.5
Teleop9.9
End3.2
blue by 4.9
4519
#18
26.50.3
27.127.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End4.0
Third
4526
#20
20.91.8
19.321.1
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
blue by 0.3
4069
#26
21.20.3
22.823.0
Auto6.9
Teleop12.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed