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Red106
293531.8
201342.1
491725.8
Blue45
493614.7
461716.4
532424.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1085102040608010012014016010645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.3
39.940.2
Auto14.0
Teleop20.8
End7.2
red by 17.6
5324
#11
24.51.3
23.922.6
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End5.4
Second
2935
#17
31.80.3
30.130.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End6.5
red by 15.4
4617
#24
16.41.3
17.416.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End0.2
Third
4917
#23
25.80.4
26.927.3
Auto8.1
Teleop15.6
End2.1
red by 11.1
4936
#28
14.71.3
17.316.0
Auto2.0
Teleop10.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed