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Red90
355028.3
502427.8
451926.5
Blue111
452620.9
481430.1
580729.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877620406010012014090111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3550
#14
28.30.2
28.628.7
Auto10.5
Teleop12.8
End5.1
blue by 1.8
30.11.8
27.629.5
Auto2.9
Teleop21.7
End5.4
Second
5024
#19
27.80.2
27.027.1
Auto7.6
Teleop15.4
End4.8
blue by 1.5
29.31.4
26.527.9
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End4.8
Third
4519
#18
26.50.1
27.427.5
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End4.0
red by 5.7
4526
#20
20.91.8
21.122.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed