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Red72
587021.6
293531.8
471617.1
Blue77
491725.8
502427.8
398619.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70782040601001201407277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#17
31.80.2
30.730.9
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End6.5
red by 4.0
5024
#19
27.80.2
27.127.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.4
End4.8
Second
5870
#30
21.60.2
22.122.3
Auto8.5
Teleop9.9
End3.2
blue by 4.2
4917
#23
25.80.2
27.327.5
Auto8.1
Teleop15.6
End2.1
Third
4716
#10
17.10.2
16.616.8
Auto6.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
blue by 2.5
3986
#27
19.60.2
20.120.3
Auto3.4
Teleop12.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed