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Red54
461716.4
490730.8
406921.2
Blue48
355028.3
567214.0
496813.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815302040601001201405448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.7
33.231.5
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End4.2
red by 2.5
3550
#14
28.30.6
28.728.1
Auto10.5
Teleop12.8
End5.1
Second
4069
#26
21.21.4
23.321.9
Auto6.9
Teleop12.2
End2.2
red by 7.2
5672
#29
14.00.6
13.012.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Third
4617
#24
16.41.7
18.016.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End0.2
red by 2.9
4968
#31
13.50.6
14.113.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsMissed26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed