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Red100
86526.6
124153.0
461716.4
Blue72
587021.6
18833.4
398619.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10274406012014016010072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.0
52.452.4
Auto15.8
Teleop31.0
End6.1
red by 19.6
188
#22
33.40.3
33.533.2
Auto12.6
Teleop16.0
End4.8
Second
865
#15
26.60.0
26.326.3
Auto8.9
Teleop14.7
End3.0
red by 5.0
5870
#30
21.60.3
22.322.0
Auto8.5
Teleop9.9
End3.2
Third
4617
#24
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End0.2
blue by 3.3
3986
#27
19.60.3
20.320.0
Auto3.4
Teleop12.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed