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Qual 602016 North Bay Regional
Red101
481430.1
493614.7
201342.1
Blue116
452620.9
77232.1
131040.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8895406080120140160101116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#4
42.10.3
42.8→43.1
Auto14.0
Teleop20.8
End7.2
red by 1.7
1310
#2
40.31.0
39.2→40.2
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.3
Second
4814
#8
30.10.3
29.3→29.7
Auto2.9
Teleop21.7
End5.4
blue by 2.0
772
#5
32.11.0
31.4→32.4
Auto10.5
Teleop18.0
End3.5
Third
4936
#28
14.70.3
14.4→14.7
Auto2.0
Teleop10.1
End2.6
blue by 6.1
4526
#20
20.91.1
20.8→21.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed