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Qual 82016 North Bay Regional
Red78
502427.8
490730.8
354319.7
Blue104
355028.3
201342.1
22929.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59840204010012014016078104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#6
30.81.9
24.3→26.2
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End4.2
blue by 11.2
2013
#4
42.11.2
37.5→38.7
Auto14.0
Teleop20.8
End7.2
Second
5024
#19
27.81.9
18.6→20.5
Auto7.6
Teleop15.4
End4.8
blue by 1.3
229
#25
29.11.1
22.6→23.7
Auto6.3
Teleop18.0
End4.8
Third
3543
#21
19.71.9
18.0→19.9
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End2.1
blue by 8.6
3550
#14
28.31.8
17.5→19.4
Auto10.5
Teleop12.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed