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Red81
86526.6
532424.5
131040.3
Blue75
587021.6
293531.8
451926.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7171506080901008175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.5
28.829.2
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.3
red by 8.5
2935
#17
31.80.5
27.127.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Second
865
#15
26.60.5
24.825.2
Auto8.9
Teleop14.7
End3.0
red by 0.1
4519
#18
26.50.5
24.525.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End4.0
Third
5324
#11
24.50.7
16.317.0
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End5.4
red by 2.9
5870
#30
21.60.8
16.217.0
Auto8.5
Teleop9.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed