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Red95
356019.9
491419.5
124161.8
Blue93
285234.4
634215.6
493923.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107002003004009593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.0
61.861.8
Auto17.0
Teleop39.6
End5.1
red by 27.4
2852
#30
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Second
3560
#21
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto9.3
Teleop8.0
End2.6
blue by 3.7
4939
#13
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End5.1
Third
4914
#15
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto9.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
red by 3.8
6342
#27
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach odds54%Breach odds
Capture
12%Capture odds1%Capture odds