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Red160
130546.5
205675.2
497636.9
Blue71
128534.4
461835.2
136028.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1768805015020025030035040016071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.20.0
75.275.2
Auto20.0
Teleop43.4
End11.9
red by 40.0
4618
#10
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto7.7
Teleop21.3
End6.2
Second
1305
#14
46.50.0
46.546.5
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End4.7
red by 12.1
1285
#16
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.1
End6.9
Third
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto11.1
Teleop19.5
End6.3
red by 8.4
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
98%Capture odds75%Capture odds