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Red106
316114.3
78126.7
467857.2
Blue133
111461.1
637815.6
368347.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961330200300400500106133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#20
57.20.0
57.257.2
Auto16.5
Teleop32.8
End8.0
blue by 3.9
61.10.0
61.161.1
Auto19.8
Teleop29.5
End11.8
Second
781
#24
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End4.1
blue by 20.3
47.00.0
47.047.0
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End9.9
Third
3161
#17
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto1.9
Teleop11.5
End0.9
blue by 1.4
6378
#12
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
17%Capture odds55%Capture odds