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Red92
124161.8
461835.2
78126.7
Blue89
493220.0
260934.1
434328.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136760501002002503009289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.0
61.861.8
Auto17.0
Teleop39.6
End5.1
red by 27.7
2609
#23
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto11.3
Teleop18.8
End4.0
Second
4618
#10
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto7.7
Teleop21.3
End6.2
red by 7.0
4343
#29
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End4.9
Third
781
#24
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End4.1
red by 6.7
4932
#25
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds74%Breach odds
Capture
74%Capture odds2%Capture odds