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Red107
107523.6
497636.9
368347.0
Blue110
130546.5
260425.8
493923.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11396050150200250107110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.0
47.047.0
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End9.9
red by 0.5
1305
#14
46.50.0
46.546.5
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End4.7
Second
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto11.1
Teleop19.5
End6.3
red by 11.0
2604
#11
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End4.7
Third
1075
#26
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End3.4
Level
4939
#13
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds78%Breach odds
Capture
35%Capture odds54%Capture odds