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Red66
634215.6
499217.5
86524.6
Blue103
136028.5
592116.9
285234.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5587015020025030066103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#22
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto5.5
Teleop15.3
End3.8
blue by 9.8
2852
#30
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Second
4992
#28
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.1
End3.5
blue by 10.9
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End5.1
Third
6342
#27
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 1.3
5921
#19
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds3%Capture odds