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Red102
128534.4
491419.5
316114.3
Blue110
540647.7
356019.9
467857.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions581410100200250300102110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#16
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.1
End6.9
blue by 22.8
4678
#20
57.20.0
57.257.2
Auto16.5
Teleop32.8
End8.0
Second
4914
#15
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto9.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
blue by 28.2
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
Third
3161
#17
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto1.9
Teleop11.5
End0.9
blue by 5.7
3560
#21
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto9.3
Teleop8.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds41%Capture odds