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Red101
136028.5
132531.6
499217.5
Blue136
368347.0
467857.2
491419.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70137050100150200250101136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
blue by 25.6
4678
#20
57.20.0
57.257.2
Auto16.5
Teleop32.8
End8.0
Second
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End5.1
blue by 18.5
47.00.0
47.047.0
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End9.9
Third
4992
#28
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.1
End3.5
blue by 1.9
4914
#15
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto9.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds57%Capture odds