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Red145
111461.1
128534.4
540647.7
Blue111
285234.4
493220.0
86524.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16168050100200250300145111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.10.0
61.161.1
Auto19.8
Teleop29.5
End11.8
red by 26.7
2852
#30
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Second
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
red by 23.1
865
#22
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto5.5
Teleop15.3
End3.8
Third
1285
#16
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.1
End6.9
red by 14.4
4932
#25
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds82%Breach odds
Capture
84%Capture odds1%Capture odds