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Red181
634215.6
205675.2
493220.0
Blue72
592116.9
497636.9
467857.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151148010012014016018018172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.20.0
75.275.2
Auto20.0
Teleop43.4
End11.9
red by 18.0
4678
#20
57.20.0
57.257.2
Auto16.5
Teleop32.8
End8.0
Second
4932
#25
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
blue by 16.8
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto11.1
Teleop19.5
End6.3
Third
6342
#27
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 1.3
5921
#19
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
17%Capture odds32%Capture odds