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Red75
136028.5
299421.2
493923.6
Blue71
540647.7
78126.7
285234.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681200501001502002503007571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End5.1
blue by 19.2
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
Second
4939
#13
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End5.1
blue by 10.7
2852
#30
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Third
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.9
End3.7
blue by 5.5
781
#24
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds7%Capture odds