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Red60
491419.5
592116.9
434328.2
Blue129
497636.9
111461.1
260425.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54140010020025030035040060129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#29
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End4.9
blue by 32.9
61.10.0
61.161.1
Auto19.8
Teleop29.5
End11.8
Second
4914
#15
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto9.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
blue by 17.4
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto11.1
Teleop19.5
End6.3
Third
5921
#19
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 8.9
2604
#11
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds66%Capture odds