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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Greater Toronto Central Regional
Red106
336033.5
569930.2
280921.7
Blue103
600923.9
270624.2
406922.1
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128360100120140160106103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#8
33.50.2
34.0→33.8
Auto8.3
Teleop17.2
End7.9
red by 9.3
2706
#9
24.20.4
23.8→24.2
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End5.8
Second
5699
#5
30.20.2
30.7→30.6
Auto6.6
Teleop17.5
End6.2
red by 6.4
6009
#31
23.90.4
23.5→23.9
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End4.5
Third
2809
#16
21.70.2
22.2→22.1
Auto8.9
Teleop9.8
End3.0
blue by 0.4
4069
#13
22.10.4
21.8→22.1
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End2.1