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Red81
568020.1
91917.7
336033.5
Blue114
368343.7
471819.8
131025.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648720408010012014081114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.9
32.733.6
Auto8.3
Teleop17.2
End7.9
blue by 10.2
43.72.2
40.843.0
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End11.7
Second
5680
#23
20.11.0
17.318.2
Auto3.6
Teleop11.5
End4.9
blue by 5.0
1310
#18
25.12.0
22.824.8
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End2.8
Third
919
#32
17.71.0
16.117.1
Auto7.6
Teleop7.1
End3.0
blue by 2.1
4718
#22
19.82.0
17.819.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned