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Red70
492011.9
85425.1
132529.7
Blue62
495123.3
181519.1
509212.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705730405080901007062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#10
29.70.1
29.629.5
Auto10.5
Teleop15.5
End3.8
red by 6.5
4951
#20
23.30.9
23.722.8
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End2.3
Second
854
#26
25.10.1
24.424.3
Auto8.2
Teleop15.3
End1.6
red by 6.1
1815
#35
19.10.9
20.019.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Third
4920
#39
11.90.1
12.011.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End2.4
blue by 1.0
5092
#37
12.90.9
13.912.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed