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Red74
583420.9
558924.9
78119.0
Blue50
77228.3
592116.9
503915.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626902040801001207450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5589
#12
24.91.1
24.525.6
Auto7.9
Teleop13.6
End3.5
blue by 3.4
772
#7
28.31.4
30.429.0
Auto10.1
Teleop14.7
End3.5
Second
5834
#11
20.91.1
19.420.5
Auto8.4
Teleop10.3
End2.3
red by 4.0
5921
#15
16.91.4
18.316.9
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Third
781
#29
19.01.1
17.518.6
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End2.4
red by 3.5
5039
#38
15.51.4
17.115.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed