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Red62
577621.8
148218.8
154722.1
Blue106
368343.7
582116.7
370515.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6376204010012014062106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1547
#24
22.10.1
22.222.1
Auto9.6
Teleop8.7
End3.8
blue by 21.6
43.70.8
43.043.8
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End11.7
Second
5776
#30
21.80.1
21.921.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End4.3
red by 5.1
5821
#40
16.70.8
15.916.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End0.8
Third
1482
#27
18.80.1
18.918.8
Auto1.4
Teleop13.8
End3.5
red by 3.6
3705
#36
15.20.8
12.613.5
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed