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Red45
88617.3
503915.5
85425.1
Blue59
154722.1
280921.7
91917.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555420304050607080904559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#26
25.10.8
18.717.9
Auto8.2
Teleop15.3
End1.6
red by 3.0
1547
#24
22.10.6
18.619.2
Auto9.6
Teleop8.7
End3.8
Second
886
#33
17.30.8
16.015.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End3.6
blue by 4.4
2809
#16
21.70.6
19.019.5
Auto8.9
Teleop9.8
End3.0
Third
5039
#38
15.50.8
17.616.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End3.4
blue by 2.2
919
#32
17.70.6
16.417.0
Auto7.6
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed