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Red66
451922.8
148218.8
270624.2
Blue58
592116.9
471819.8
491417.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58563040507080906658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.1
15.615.7
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End5.8
red by 4.3
4718
#22
19.80.3
14.715.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
Second
4519
#25
22.80.1
21.221.3
Auto5.1
Teleop14.2
End3.5
red by 5.7
4914
#34
17.10.3
24.424.7
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End1.9
Third
1482
#27
18.80.1
18.218.3
Auto1.4
Teleop13.8
End3.5
red by 1.9
5921
#15
16.90.3
16.016.3
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed