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Red165
11848.4
205661.8
263424.8
Blue24
503125.4
478323.8
434322.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185785010015020025016524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.2
64.964.7
Auto18.8
Teleop34.5
End8.4
red by 36.4
5031
#19
25.41.5
26.424.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Second
118
#4
48.40.2
51.551.3
Auto12.2
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 24.6
4783
#13
23.81.5
24.923.4
Auto8.9
Teleop10.7
End4.3
Third
2634
#35
24.80.2
26.326.1
Auto11.0
Teleop11.0
End2.8
red by 2.4
4343
#33
22.41.5
23.522.0
Auto6.7
Teleop11.9
End3.8