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Red40
614011.5
614120.1
128520.2
Blue98
201337.6
461830.3
107520.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50105204060801201401604098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#34
20.21.8
21.419.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End3.3
blue by 17.3
37.60.5
40.440.0
Auto12.7
Teleop19.3
End5.6
Second
6141
#40
20.11.9
22.020.1
Auto1.1
Teleop15.6
End3.4
blue by 10.3
4618
#11
30.30.5
31.931.4
Auto8.7
Teleop15.5
End6.1
Third
6140
#43
11.51.9
13.511.5
Auto5.4
Teleop3.4
End2.7
blue by 9.1
1075
#16
20.60.4
21.020.6
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
23%Breach oddsMissed92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed