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Red154
111451.1
124139.3
293527.5
Blue100
371021.5
503628.0
128520.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1507050100200154100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.10.2
50.150.3
Auto16.8
Teleop26.2
End8.1
red by 23.0
5036
#12
28.00.2
27.427.6
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End7.3
Second
39.30.2
38.338.5
Auto9.3
Teleop24.3
End5.7
red by 17.8
3710
#31
21.50.2
20.821.0
Auto8.9
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Third
2935
#23
27.50.2
26.526.7
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End4.2
red by 7.2
1285
#34
20.20.2
19.619.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End3.3