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Semifinal 2-22016 Greater Toronto East Regional
Red190
111451.1
124139.3
293527.5
Blue146
61038.1
201337.6
559624.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421216080100160180190146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#7
51.10.5
50.4→50.9
Auto16.8
Teleop26.2
End8.1
red by 13.0
610
#8
38.10.0
38.0→38.1
Auto9.3
Teleop20.8
End7.9
Second
1241
#2
39.30.5
38.6→39.1
Auto9.3
Teleop24.3
End5.7
red by 1.7
2013
#3
37.60.0
37.5→37.6
Auto12.7
Teleop19.3
End5.6
Third
2935
#23
27.50.5
26.8→27.3
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End4.2
red by 3.3
5596
#29
24.20.0
24.2→24.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End6.2