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Quarterfinal 4-32016 Greater Toronto East Regional
Red133
61038.1
201337.6
559624.2
Blue95
461830.3
497628.0
311730.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311088010012014016018020013395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#8
38.10.1
39.0→38.9
Auto9.3
Teleop20.8
End7.9
red by 7.7
4618
#11
30.30.4
30.8→30.3
Auto8.7
Teleop15.5
End6.1
Second
2013
#3
37.60.1
38.5→38.4
Auto12.7
Teleop19.3
End5.6
red by 7.3
3117
#28
30.20.4
30.6→30.2
Auto6.7
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Third
5596
#29
24.20.1
25.1→25.0
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End6.2
blue by 3.8
4976
#9
28.00.4
28.4→28.0
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End3.0