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Red79
614120.1
234025.0
461830.3
Blue41
473221.9
219813.7
371021.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55554550606570757941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#11
30.32.9
20.923.7
Auto8.7
Teleop15.5
End6.1
red by 8.4
4732
#27
21.91.9
16.014.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.6
End4.5
Second
2340
#18
25.02.9
18.221.0
Auto9.1
Teleop9.4
End6.4
red by 3.5
3710
#31
21.51.9
21.419.5
Auto8.9
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Third
6141
#40
20.12.9
14.217.1
Auto1.1
Teleop15.6
End3.4
red by 6.3
2198
#42
13.71.9
15.813.9
Auto0.2
Teleop11.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed