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Qual 142016 Greater Toronto East Regional
Red121
107520.6
205661.8
130538.7
Blue117
201337.6
111451.1
74623.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8396204060120140160180121117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#1
61.84.3
43.4→47.7
Auto18.8
Teleop34.5
End8.4
red by 10.7
1114
#7
51.12.8
43.8→46.7
Auto16.8
Teleop26.2
End8.1
Second
1305
#10
38.74.3
22.8→27.1
Auto6.8
Teleop26.4
End5.5
red by 1.1
2013
#3
37.62.8
27.9→30.8
Auto12.7
Teleop19.3
End5.6
Third
1075
#16
20.64.3
16.1→20.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End2.5
blue by 3.3
746
#14
23.92.8
19.6→22.5
Auto6.8
Teleop13.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned