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Red34
107520.6
425217.0
371021.5
Blue119
128520.2
424817.6
124139.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5765020408010012014034119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3710
#31
21.53.1
19.516.4
Auto8.9
Teleop10.6
End2.0
blue by 17.8
39.34.7
28.333.0
Auto9.3
Teleop24.3
End5.7
Second
1075
#16Sur
20.63.1
20.417.3
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End2.5
red by 0.4
1285
#34Sur
20.24.7
22.827.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End3.3
Third
4252
#39
17.03.1
16.613.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End1.7
blue by 0.6
4248
#20
17.64.7
11.015.6
Auto4.4
Teleop12.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsMissed46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned